Albuquerque, New Mexico – Heavy rain and the threat of flash flooding will dominate New Mexico’s weather this week, putting burn scar areas and normally dry arroyos at risk as storms roll in each afternoon and evening through Saturday.
The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued warnings about widespread storms expected to bring daily precipitation chances ranging from 40% to 80% throughout the state, with the highest risks and rainfall totals likely from Wednesday through Friday. Most areas will see between 0.25″ and 0.5″ of rain, but localized spots, particularly in central and northern high terrain, may experience 2–3 inches of rain. The most hazardous flooding is expected near recent wildfire burn scars, where fast-rising waters could quickly overwhelm low-lying areas and roads.
Major cities including Albuquerque, Santa Fe, Farmington, and Gallup are expected to experience afternoon storms that could bring heavy rain, hail, and strong wind gusts. Lightning poses a risk to outdoor activities every day, and roadways, including I-25, I-40, and rural highways in northern and western New Mexico, could be affected by rapidly rising water or debris flows. Residents are urged to avoid crossing flooded roads, keep multiple ways of receiving weather alerts, and ensure devices are charged in case of power outages.
Temperatures are expected to stay near normal until midweek, with a cooling trend of 5–10° below average by Friday, providing some relief from recent heat. The storms are also likely to keep afternoon highs cooler, especially in areas with heavier rainfall.
Rain and storm chances remain high through Saturday, with continued flooding risks—especially in burn scar areas. Stay tuned for updates and possible new advisories as the week progresses.
Five-Day Forecast for New Mexico:
Tuesday: Scattered storms (30–70% chance). Highs: Albuquerque 96°, Santa Fe 93°. Localized flooding risk.
Wednesday: Widespread afternoon/evening storms (50–80%). Flash flood watch in effect. Highs trend cooler, 85–95° most locations.
Thursday: Heavy, widespread rain likely (70–90%). Cooler, highs 80–90°. Highest flood risk for burn scars and northern/western NM.
Friday: Persistent showers and storms (60–80%). Totals >2″ possible in high terrain. Highs 78–88°.
Saturday: Showers linger (30–60%). Gradual drying late. Highs rebound to 85–92°.
